Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.147944 0.174208 0.203566 0.238788 0.279873 0.326257 0.382579
2025-10-19 0.110836 0.145141 0.187511 0.243575 0.315700 0.405256 0.524803
2025-10-26 0.087887 0.124692 0.173686 0.243443 0.339958 0.468525 0.652522
2025-11-02 0.070274 0.106588 0.158034 0.235858 0.350188 0.511514 0.755909
2025-11-09 0.056512 0.090907 0.142372 0.224465 0.351537 0.540039 0.840019
2025-11-16 0.048748 0.082630 0.135851 0.224829 0.369056 0.592624 0.964108
2025-11-23 0.041242 0.073399 0.126236 0.218501 0.374559 0.626457 1.061942
2025-11-30 0.037053 0.068942 0.123539 0.222720 0.397077 0.688996 1.212045
2025-12-07 0.032927 0.063908 0.119052 0.223041 0.412617 0.741118 1.349786
2025-12-14 0.028694 0.058000 0.112148 0.217986 0.417754 0.775454 1.459726
2025-12-21 0.025664 0.053906 0.107956 0.217221 0.430296 0.823711 1.599098
2025-12-28 0.024018 0.052285 0.108187 0.224789 0.459151 0.904327 1.806241
2026-01-04 0.022859 0.051669 0.110639 0.237741 0.501409 1.017304 2.092916
2026-01-11 0.021107 0.049557 0.109847 0.244156 0.531760 1.111440 2.355247
2026-01-18 0.019013 0.046347 0.106285 0.244221 0.548932 1.181201 2.576457
2026-01-25 0.016602 0.042009 0.099649 0.236636 0.548720 1.215136 2.727001
2026-02-01 0.014257 0.037436 0.091811 0.225209 0.538468 1.226495 2.830283
2026-02-08 0.012985 0.035283 0.089246 0.225574 0.554795 1.296872 3.070314
2026-02-15 0.011470 0.032261 0.084171 0.219226 0.554624 1.330449 3.231190
2026-02-22 0.010706 0.031087 0.083458 0.223459 0.580198 1.425226 3.543212
2026-03-01 0.009821 0.029439 0.081316 0.223781 0.596178 1.499291 3.814425
2026-03-08 0.008787 0.027199 0.077310 0.218709 0.597909 1.539462 4.008178
2026-03-15 0.008048 0.025687 0.075040 0.217942 0.610637 1.607796 4.278877